Has the loss to UCF derailed the Bearcats season?

AAC Tiebreaking rules:

TWO TEAM TIE

  1. 6.1.  If there is a two-team tie for first place, both teams will play in the Championship Game. The game site will be determined by Item 10 below.
  2. 6.2.  If there is a two-team tie for second place, the head-to-head result shall determine the Championship Game participant.
  3. 6.3.  If there is no head-to-head winner, then the team that has the higher College Football Playoff Selection Committee Rankings (CFP) shall be a Championship Game participant: The latest available CFP Rankings will be used to break ties (see Item 5). If a team or teams lose in the final weekend of the Conference season to create a tie, and there are subsequent CFP rankings, those subsequent rankings will be used to break the tie.
  4. 6.4.  If the regular season ends and the Championship Game is scheduled for the next Saturday, then the following tiebreaker procedures will be used;6.4.1.if one of the tied teams was ranked in the latest available CFP Selection Committee rankings and wins in the final weekend of regular season Conference play, it will be declared a championship game participant.6.4.2.If one of the tied teams was ranked in the latest available CFP Selection Committee rankings and loses in the final weekend of regular season Conference play, then a composite average of selected computer rankings (Anderson & Hester, Billingsley, Colley and Wolfe) will be used to determine the Championship Game participants;6.4.3.If both tied teams are ranked in the latest available CFP Selection Committee rankings, the higher- ranked tied team(s) that wins in the final weekend of the Conference regular season will be a championship game participant(s);6.4.4.If neither of the tied ranked teams wins in the final weekend of the Conference regular season, a composite average of selected computer rankings (Anderson & Hester, Billingsley, Colley and Wolfe) after all games conclude the final weekend of the Conference regular season will be used to determine the championship game participants;6.4.5.If no tied teams are ranked in the latest available CFP Selection Committee rankings going into the final weekend of the Conference regular season, a composite average of selected computer rankings (Anderson & Hester, Billingsley, Colley and Wolfe) after all teams conclude the final weekend of the Conference regular season will be used to determine the Championship Game participants

MULTIPLE TEAM TIE

  1. 7.1.  If more than two teams tie for first or second place, the tiebreaker procedures will be applied separately to identify the two participants in the championship game.
  2. 7.2.  If only two teams remain tied after any step in the tiebreaking process, the two-team tie procedures shall be used to break the tie.
  3. 7.3.  The Conference records of the tied teams are compared in a mini round-robin format. If, within the mini round-robin, any of the tied teams did not play each other, the group of teams shall remain tied, unless one team defeated all other tied teams.
  4. 7.4.  The team that has the highest College Football Playoff Selection Committee Rankings (CFP) shall be a Championship Game participant: The latest available CFP Rankings will be used to break ties (see Item 5). If a team or teams lose in the final weekend of the Conference season to create a tie and there are subsequent CFP rankings, those rankings will be used to break ties.
  5. 7.5.  If the regular season ends and the Championship Game is scheduled for the next Saturday, then the following tiebreaker procedures will be used;7.5.1.If the highest-ranked of the tied teams in the latest available CFP Selection Committee rankings wins in the final weekend of regular season Conference play, it will be declared a Championship Game participant.7.5.2.If the highest-ranked of the tied teams in the latest available CFP Selection Committee rankings loses in the final weekend of regular season Conference play, then a composite average of selected computer rankings (Anderson & Hester, Billingsley, Colley and Wolfe) will be used to determine the Championship Game participants;7.5.3.If there are multiple tied teams ranked in the latest available CFP Selection Committee rankings, the highest-ranked team or teams that win in the final weekend of the Conference regular season will be Championship Game participants;7.5.4.If none of the ranked tied teams win in the final weekend of the Conference regular season, a composite average of selected computer rankings (Anderson & Hester, Billingsley, Colley and Wolfe) after all games conclude the final weekend of the Conference regular season will be used to determine the Championship Game participants;7.5.5.If no teams are ranked in the latest available CFP Selection Committee rankings going into the final weekend of the Conference regular season, a composite average of selected computer rankings (Anderson & Hester, Billingsley, Colley and Wolfe) after all games conclude the final weekend of the Conference regular season will be used to break a tie and determine the Championship Game participants

UC needs to win out, but if they can beat ECU and Tulane they will be able to give themselves a shot a third AAC Championship. If UCF takes a loss that would give UC an inside track on hosting because UCF and Tulane still play each other. ECU has two losses in the conference, but they still have UC and Houston on their schedule. Houston has only one loss in the conference they have the easiest road to go undefeated the rest of the way, they already loss to Tulane and they don’t have UCF or Houston. Right now it seems Tulane, UCF and UC are in the lead to win the AAC, but for UC they need UCF to lose or UCF beat Tulane as well to secure a championship game birth. The key is can UC go can they win at home? They may have to travel in the AAC Championship Game, but it isn’t out of the cards just yet! As bad as it was for #BearcatNation on Saturday they still have possibility to control their own faith and possibly get a New Years Six Bowl bid. Will the Bearcats bite down and win out? It starts with Navy Saturday and they move forward, I’ll either be writing about how I was right or how I was wrong in a few weeks, but with Luke Fickell’s track record I’m banking on the head coach to keep proving me right.

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About J.T. Smith

Lil foot long foot, "kind of a" Sports Blogger, EIC @frontofficenews. An Ohio boy with an opinion. Bringing my #Bearcats thoughts to #TFON ... along with thoughts about other topics. formerly of Fansided and Scout. Follow me @_JT_Smith on Twitter
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